Blurbs
Today is my little sister's birthday. It's also my 2-year Capoeira anniversary.
In other news, there's a great James Fallows interview today over at Fresh Air, in case you don't have time to read the really long, in-depth and exceptionally fascinating Atlantic article I spoke about here.
And here's Ruy Tuxeira's take on the new Gallup poll -- the one that has Shrub leading by like, "13" points. For another perspective, Rasmussen just came out with a poll showing Bush at 47.9% and Kerry at 46.3%.
How can Gallup......have Bush up by 13 nationwide, when he's only up by 2 points among Florida RVs?--and according to their own poll!
How can Gallup.....have Bush up by 13 nationwide, when he's only up by 2 points among Nevada RVs?--again, according to their own poll.
How can Gallup....have Bush up by 13 nationwide, when he's only up by 3 points in Ohio, according to Fox News?
How can Gallup....have Bush up by 13 nationwide, when he trailing by 5 points in Pennsylvania and 2 points in Michigan, according to Fox News?
How can Gallup.....have Bush up by 13 nationwide, when he's only leading in Montana by 18 points? (in 2000, Bush won Montana by 25 points)
How can Gallup.....have Bush up by 13 nationwide, when he's behind Kerry by 15 points in California and 20 points in New York?
How can Gallup.....have Bush tied in the solid blue states (that is, the non-battleground blue states, so WI, MN, IO etc aren't included), when he is trailing Kerry by 15 points in California and 20 points in New York?
How can Gallup.....have Bush up by 13, when he's only leading among independents by 2 (and that was exactly Bush's margin among independents in 2000 when, as you recall, he did not win the popular vote by 13 points)?
Link via Kos blogfather MyDD...
Atrios agrees re. Ruy's take above.
Update, 3:19pm: The Left Coaster's Steve Soto's take:
Looking at this, again I have a simple question: how can anyone, especially USA Today and CNN, let alone the rest of the media take a Gallup national poll seriously when Gallup knowingly puts a poll out there for consumption with a 12% GOP bias in its likely voter sample that everyone knows does not exist in the country today or at any time in the last three presidential elections?
Yet this flawed poll showed a narrowing Bush lead from their similarly flawed poll of two weeks ago. So if a poll with an unsupportable GOP bias of 12% in its likely voter sample, shows an 8% Bush lead amongst likely voters when a poll they used two weeks ago with a 7% GOP bias showed a 13% Bush lead with likely voters, then how can anyone not conclude that Kerry is doing much better than Gallup would have you believe?
By presenting these polls with this kind of bias, and then ensuring through CNN and USA Today the farthest possible media saturation, why is Gallup not guilty of engaging in a political disinformation campaign?
posted by claudine |Added at
1:33 PM| |
politics, polls
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